Table 4.

Transition Probabilities among Compartments in Mandate Model

	To Compartment
		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
From Compartment	1	.927	.010	.040	.013	.086
		.896	.009	.038	.007	.050
		.859	.008	.036	.002	.021
	2		.595	.589	.030	.094
			.504	.440	.011	.045
			.359	.350	.000	.017
	3		.200	.912		.105
			.117	.821		.062
			.050	.707		.027
	4				.950	.200
					.883	.117
					.800	.050
	5					.100	.990
						.053	.947
						.010	.900
	6							.040	.982
								.029	.971
								.018	.960
	7							.750	.800
								.400	.600
								.200	.250
	8							.010	.095	.990
								.006	.048	.947
								.003	.003	.900
	9										.020	.991
											.014	.986
											.009	.980
	10										.745	.800
											.400	.600
											.200	.255
	11										.010	.186	.891
											.006	.142	.852
											.003	.101	.811

Transition probabilities from (y-axis) one compartment to (x-axis) another. Yellow rows indicate values specified as the most likely in the triangular distribution used in the MonteCarlo analysis. Least likely (orange) and most likely (blue) values are also depicted.