Table 3.

Model parameters estimated from the 2008 South Korean epidemic.

Description	Parameter	Fixed or Estimated	Value
Size of unit square	-	Fixed	37.5 km × 37.5 km
Infection probability	τ	Estimated	0.429 day-1
Chicken incubation period	μ	Fixed	2.5 days
Duck incubation period	ν	Estimated	7.2 days
Quarantine radius	λ	Estimated	0.293 units
Long range relocation probability	ω	Estimated	0.0083 day-1
Short-range relocation rate constant	ψ	Estimated	162 units-1
Infection spreading distance	γ	Fixed	0.15 unit
Death probability of infected birds	θ	Fixed	0.5 day-1
Delay in reporting outbreaks	ϕ	Fixed	1 days