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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Eur J Neurol. 2009 Oct 1;17(2):252–259. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-1331.2009.02783.x

Tableau 3.

Impact of an intervention carried out in 2010 involving an immediate reduction in the incidence of dementia and Alzheimer disease

Intervention delaying onset of dementia
2010 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050
Without intervention N 754 966 1 026 1 287 1 579 1 813
Onset delaying of 1 year N 754 885 914 1 131 1 397 1 615
 %* 8,3 10,9 12,2 11,5 10,9
Onset delaying of 2 year N 754 812 813 987 1 230 1 431
 %* 15,9 20,8 23,3 22,1 21,1
Onset delaying of 5 year N 754 635 566 641 812 965
 %* 34,2 44,8 50,2 48,6 46,8
Intervention delaying onset of Alzheimer disease
Impact on the number of Alzheimer disease
Without intervention N 504 657 699 864 1 066 1 226
Onset delaying of 1 year N 504 600 621 756 940 1 089
 %* 8,7 11,2 12,4 11,8 11,2
Onset delaying of 2 years N 504 548 550 659 825 961
 %* 16,6 21,4 23,7 22,6 21,6
Onset delaying of 5 years N 504 425 379 426 539 641
 %* 35,4 45,8 50,7 49,4 47,7
Impact on the number of Dementia
Without intervention N 754 966 1 026 1 287 1 579 1 813
Onset delaying of 1 year N 754 908 947 1 180 1 453 1 676
 %* 5,9 7,6 8,4 8,0 7,6
Onset delaying of 2 year N 754 856 877 1 082 1 338 1 548
 %* 11,3 14,5 15,9 15,3 14,6
Onset delaying of 5 year N 754 733 706 849 1 052 1 228
 %* 24,1 31,2 34,0 33,4 32,2
*

Proportion of reduction in the number of cases compared to projections of the principal scenario without intervention