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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Aug 27.
Published in final edited form as: N Engl J Med. 2009 Jul 16;361(3):255–263. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0809437

Table 4a.

Observed and Fitted Mean Auditory Verbal Learning Test Long Term Memory Score at First Examination and Annual Change by Age Deciles: APOE e4 Carriers and Noncarriers

AVLT-LTM at First Examination Annual Change in AVLT-LTM
Noncarriers Carriers Noncarriers Carriers
Observed(1) Model(2) Observed(1) Model(2) Observed(3) Model(4) Observed(3) Model(4)
Age Decile N Mean SD N Mean SD N Mean SD N Mean SD
20-29 9 12.44 2.07 12.26 6 11.00 2.97 11.03 1 0.25 . 0.14 2 0.50 0.71 0.40
30-39 22 10.64 2.63 10.27 24 10.13 2.85 10.24 12 −0.50 1.06 0.12 12 0.31 0.53 0.29
40-49 27 10.48 2.42 10.44 36 10.00 3.57 9.83 18 0.12 0.82 0.09 16 0.14 1.15 0.18
50-59 169 9.63 3.10 9.50 114 9.92 3.10 9.55 92 0.10 0.81 0.07 76 −0.03 0.96 0.08
60-69 148 8.89 2.91 8.84 78 8.10 3.51 8.21 134 −0.05 1.18 0.04 88 0.02 1.18 −0.03
70-79 83 8.70 3.53 8.73 40 8.18 2.77 7.94 78 0.12 0.99 0.02 39 −0.61 1.65 −0.13
80-89 29 9.38 2.97 8.81 14 6.43 3.52 6.48 39 −0.33 1.66 −0.01 14 −0.46 1.49 −0.24
90-99 4 10.50 4.43 9.18 1 11.00 . 10.36 8 0.21 1.39 −0.03 1 0.48 . −0.35

AVLT = Auditory Verbal Learning Test (Long Term Memory score).

(1)

Observed AVLT score at first examination per subject summarized for each age decile.

(2)

Predicted (empirical best linear unbiased predictor) AVLT score at first examination per subject based on the AVLT mixed model (Table 2) averaged for each age decile.

(3)

Slope of simple linear regression line computed per subject (using all observations for that subject within the age decile) summarized for each age decile.

(4)

Predicted annual change in AVLT at the beginning of the age decile based on the AVLT mixed model (Table 2).