TABLE 7.

Discrete-Time Event History Analysis Using Multinomial Logit Model to Predict the Relative Likelihood of Taking a Later Undocumented Trip to the U.S.

Variable	Mode of Entry
	With Tourist Visa		Without Inspection
	B	SE	B	SE
Demographic background
Age	−0.190***	0.058	−0.152***	0.027
Age squared	0.002**	0.001	0.001	0.001
Married	0.723**	0.333	−0.190	0.129
Number children 0–1	−0.220	0.221	0.021	0.087
Number children 2–5	−0.361**	0.158	−0.011	0.059
Socioeconomic background
Years of schooling	0.105***	0.025	−0.055***	0.014
Occupation
Not working	—	—	—	—
Unskilled	−0.185	0.430	−0.257	0.238
Skilled	−0.382	0.434	−0.551**	0.246
Owns real estate	−0.152	0.222	−0.142	0.096
Owns business	0.137	0.214	−0.264**	0.113
Social capital
Parent ever U.S. migrant	−1.010**	0.415	−0.066	0.113
Sibling ever U.S. migrant	−0.170	0.201	0.068	0.087
Child ever U.S. migrant	1.033***	0.268	0.160	0.175
Migratory prevalence	0.074**	0.036	0.058***	0.016
Prevalence squared	−0.002***	0.001	−0.001	0.001
Contextual factors
Log of community population	0.103	0.067	−0.109***	0.035
Linewatch hours	−0.001	0.002	−0.002	0.005
Deportations	0.065***	0.019	0.088***	0.009
Relative access to documents	0.283	0.474	−0.445**	0.202
Relative GDP per capita	0.038	0.070	−0.020	0.035
Country
Mexico	—	—	—	—
Dominican Republic	0.810	0.957	−0.703	0.829
Nicaragua	−0.485	2.589	0.150	1.199
Costa Rica	2.057***	0.330	−1.194***	0.313
Intercept	−4.344***	1.362	1.593**	0.664
Person-years	21,122
Log likelihood	−3,210.9***

^**p < .05.

^***p < .01.