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. 2010 Sep 2;6(9):e1000898. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000898

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Laneri et al.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.

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(A) Monthly malaria reported cases (red) and monthly rainfall from local stations (black) for Kutch. (B) Correlation between accumulated rainfall in different time windows preceding the month of reported cases. A maximum is observed when rainfall is accumulated over 5 to 6 months. (C) Monthly reported cases as a function of accumulated rainfall in the previous five months. A threshold, nonlinear response is apparent with no effect of rainfall below a value of around 200mm and an increase in both the mean and the variance of cases above it.

Inline graphic — (A) Monthly malaria reported cases (red) and monthly rainfall from local stations (black) for Kutch. (B) Correlation between accumulated rainfall in different time windows preceding the month of reported cases. A maximum is observed when rainfall is accumulated over 5 to 6 months. (C) Monthly reported cases as a function of accumulated rainfall in the previous five months. A threshold, nonlinear response is apparent with no effect of rainfall below a value of around 200mm and an increase in both the mean and the variance of cases above it.