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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2011 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Biomed Inform. 2010 Jun 15;43(5):791–799. doi: 10.1016/j.jbi.2010.06.003

Table 2.

Validation of Michigan model for diabetes simulation results after 10 years against results reported in UKPDS 33. The Michigan model results show the mean, Standard Deviation (SD), Min, Median, and Max values from 100 repetitions. The relative error column compares the highlighted columns using the following formula (Mean - UKPDS)/UKPDS.

UKPDS 33
definition
UKPDS 33
reported
Michigan model simulation results Relative
Error
Mean SD Min Median Max
Diabetes related
deaths
129 135.35 9.77 111 135 164 0.049
All cause
mortality
213 213.89 12.16 181 213 255 0.004
Myocardial
Infarction
186 189.93 11.11 159 189 219 0.021
Stroke 55 48.17 6.21 32 48 63 −0.12
Micro-vascular 121 101.72 8.98 80 101 132 −0.16