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. 2010 Sep 27;365(1554):3049–3063. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0141

Table 1.

Main simulation models used in the scenario studies.

model (affiliation) type scenario study main endogenous variables main exogenous drivers spatial scale sectoral scale documentation
IMAGE 2.2 (RIVM) integrated assessment MA energy use, land use, GHG emissions, climate population, GDP 17 regions, biophysical: 0.5o*0.5o grid 12 agric. commodities IMAGE (2001)
AIM (NIES/Kyoto University) integrated assessment MA land cover, emissions, water use (Asia Pacific) population, productivity 15 regions, Water: 2.5o*2.5o grid 15 production sectors (4 agric. sectors) Kainuma et al. (2002)
IMPACT (IFPRI) multi-market partial equilibrium MA agricultural production, demand, prices and trade, child malnutrition population, GDP, agric. productivity 43 regions 32 agric. commodities www.ifpri.org
WaterGAP (University of Kassel) hydrology MA water use, water stress population, GDP, climate, land cover 150 regions water: 0.5o*0.5o grid n.a. Alcamo et al. (2003)
ECOPATH/ECOSIM (University of British Columbia) biophysical MA marine ecosystem, biomass marine species mortality, fishery catch flexible n.a. Christensen & Walters (2004)
FAO World Food Model (FAO) multi-market partial equilibrium FAO2050 agricultural production, demand, prices and trade population, GDP, agric. productivity 115 regions 14 agric. commodities www.fao.org
WATERSIM (IWMI/IFPRI) linked multi-market partial equilibrium and hydrology CAWMA agricultural production, demand, prices and trade, water use population, GDP, agric. productivity, 282 sub-basins 32 food commodities de Fraiture et al. (2007)
BLS (IIASA) computable general equilibrium Parry et al. (2004) agricultural production, demand, prices and trade, GDP population, productivity, climate 34 regions 10 production sectors (9 agric sectors) Fisher et al. (1988)
Agrobiom (INRA/CIRAD) biomass Agrimonde calorie balances population, agric. productivity, land use 149 regions 5 biomass categories Chaumet et al. (2009) (outline only)