Figure 3. Results from experiment 1.

Group 1A's results (large variance group) are in the top row and group 1B's results (small variance group) are in the bottom row. A), D) The error in the estimated mean of the prior, over the course of the experiment (each bin is 10 consecutive trials) averaged over subjects (mean +/− standard error). The far right point is the average over subjects and trials. B), E) The gain, r, subjects used during the experiment, averaged across subjects. The bold black line indicates the Bayesian inference model's fits to the experimental data. C), F) Inferred average prior as it evolved over the experiment.