Table 3.
Mean estimates of transmissibility for the summer 1918 and fall 1918 waves of the pandemic in Mexico City, assuming a serial interval of 3 or 6 days that is either exponentially distributed or fixed (delta distribution).
3-day serial interval | 6-day serial interval | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Exp dist. | Delta dist. | Exp. Dist. | Delta dist. | |
Spring wave | 1.3 (1.3, 1.3) | 1.3 (1.3, 1.3) | 1.7 (1.6, 1.7) | 1.8 (1.8, 1.8) |
Autumn wave | 1.3 (1.3, 1.3) | 1.3 (1.3, 1.3) | 1.6 (1.6, 1.6) | 1.7 (1.7, 1.8) |