Table 3.
Concordance index C* |
Observed/Expected O/E ratio† |
Mean Squared Error |
|
---|---|---|---|
MelaPRO-HBI | 0.86 (0.75, 0.97) | 0.85 (0.62, 1.08) | 0.06 (0.03, 0.08) |
MelaPRO-LBI | 0.86 (0.74, 0.97) | 0.31 (0.20, 0.42) | 0.19 (0.15, 0.22) |
MelaPRO-GEM | 0.83 (0.67, 0.98) | 0.54 (0.38, 0.72) | 0.08 (0.06, 0.11) |
MELPREDICT‡ | 0.82 (0.61, 0.93) | 1.10 (0.92, 1.17) | 0.09 (0.04, 0.12) |
Difference Between MelaPRO-HBI and MelaPRO-LBI |
0.007 (−0.01,0.02) |
Not Applicable§ | −0.13 (−0.16, −0.10) |
Difference Between MelaPRO-HBI and MelaPRO-GEM |
0.04 (−0.008, 0.09) |
Not Applicable | −0.03 (−0.04, −0.02) |
Difference Between MelaPRO-HBI and MELPREDICT |
0.05 (0.007, 0.17) |
Not Applicable | −0.03 (−0.06, 0.002) |
Sensitivity | Specificity | ||
FH:≥2 affected relatives | 0.81 | 0.58 |
The concordance index C is equal to the AUC (area under the ROC curve)
The ratio between the observed number of carriers and the total number of predicted carriers
Leave-one-out cross-validation on Boston data using fixed covariates for MELPREDICT
Computing the difference in this case is not appropriate, as each ratio should be compared to the reference value of one.