Table 4.
Crude and Adjusted Hazard Ratios of Mortality for the 1,037 Patients Lost from an HIV Treatment Program at the Themba Lethu Clinic, Johannesburg, South Africa*
| Variable | Crude Model(95% CI^) | Adjusted Model**(95% CI^) CI− |
|---|---|---|
| Age at time of being lost | ||
| ≤ 40 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| > 40 | 1.67 (1.34–2.08) | 1.43 (1.10–1.85) |
| Last CD4 before being lost | ||
| > 200 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 100–200 | 0.74 (0.57–0.96) | 1.80 (1.20–2.70) |
| 0–100 | 3.83 (3.06–4.79) | 3.38 (2.27–5.03) |
| History of tuberculosis | ||
| No | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Yes | 1.31 (0.98–1.74) | 1.29 (0.93–1.79) |
| Sex | ||
| Male | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Female | 0.78 (0.63–0.97) | 1.07 (0.83–1.38) |
| Last BMI^ before being lost | ||
| ≥ 17.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| < 17.5 | 3.69 (2.82–4.83) | 2.35 (1.76–3.14) |
| Last HB before being lost | ||
| ≥ 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| < 10.0 | 2.56 (2.03–3.23) | 1.39 (1.04–1.85) |
| Year lost from care | ||
| 2004 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 2005 | 1.52 (1.21–1.91) | 0.85 (0.48–1.52) |
| 2006 | 0.71 (0.55–0.92) | 0.62 (0.34–1.13) |
| 2007 | 0.81 (0.63–1.03) | 0.81 (0.45–1.47) |
| 2008 | 0.94 (0.69–1.27) | 0.96 (0.52–1.78) |
| Months on ART before LTFU | ||
| >=12 months | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 6–12 months | 0.82 (0.61–1.11) | 1.38 (0.90–2.11) |
| 0–6 months | 2.34 (1.86–2.94) | 1.52 (1.05–2.21) |
Mortality data comes from South Africa’s Department of Home Affairs Vital Registration System
Adjusted for all other variables in the model using Cox Proportional Hazards regression
CI = Confidence interval, BMI = Body Mass Index