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. 2010 Jan 8;13(2):153–164. doi: 10.1007/s00737-009-0134-x

Table 2.

Predictive values of the EPDS at the second trimester

EPDS at second trimester (time 1)
9/10 14/15
Positive predictive valuea Negative predictive valueb McNemar Test Positive predictive valuea Negative predictive valueb McNemar Test
Number of cases (n) Proportion (%) Number of cases (n) Proportion (%) Sig. Number of cases (n) Proportion (%) Number of cases (n) Proportion (%) Sig.
EPDS at third trimester (time 2) 9/10 354/561 63.1 860/1,008 85.3 <0.001 126/156 80.8 1,037/1,413 73.4 <0.001
14/15 104/561 18.5 989/1,008 98.1 <0.001 58/156 37.2 1,348/1,413 95.4 <0.001
EPDS at 6 weeks after delivery (time 3) 9/10 113/214 52.8 316/396 79.8 0.137 47/65 72.3 399/545 73.2 <0.001
14/15 39/214 18.2 382/396 96.5 <0.001 20/65 30.8 512/545 93.9 0.213

9/10 a cut-off of 9/10, 14/15 a cut-off of 14/15, EPDS Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale

aPositive predictive value: the proportion of women who screened positively in the second trimester (time 1), using the EPDS, who exhibited perinatal depressive symptomatology in the third trimester (time 2) or at 6 weeks after delivery (time 3)

bNegative predictive value: the proportion of women who screened negatively in the second trimester (time 1), using the EPDS, who did not exhibit perinatal depressive symptomatology in the third trimester (time 2) or at 6 weeks after delivery (time 3)