Table 4.

Predicted Months of Community Residence Prior to Nursing Home Entry Among Persons Who Entered a Nursing Home by Living Arrangement and Number of Changes in Household Composition: Assets and Health Dynamics of the Elderly/Health and Retirement Survey 1993–2002

	Months of community residence gained (lost) relative to these living arrangements
Types of living arrangements and number of changes in household composition	Alone continuously	With spouse continuously	With child continuously
None
Alone continuously	—	—	—
With spouse continuously	12.9	—	—
With same adult child   continuously	31.9	19.0	—
With othersa, continuously	4.6	−8.5	−27.5
1 Change
With spouse continuously	57.3	44.4	25.4
With same adult child   continuously	77.8	65.0	45.9
From spouse or alone to adult child	51.9	39.0	20.0
From spouse to alone	70.7	57.8	38.8
From spouse/alone/child to othersa	62.1	49.2	30.2
Other patterns	54.2	41.8	22.8
2+ Changes
With spouse continuously	100.9	87.9	69.0
With spouse or alone to adult child	105.9	93.0	74.0
From spouse to alone	114.9	102.0	83.0
From spouse/alone/child to othersa	95.3	82.3	63.3
Other patterns	98.1	85.2	66.2

Notes: Simulations are based on parameter estimates from the Gompertz duration model shown in Table 3. Predicted months of community residence for each living arrangement/number of changes in household composition combination are calculated for each individual by substituting the values of the relevant characteristics (e.g., living arrangement = continuously with spouse and changes in household composition = 1) while holding other factors constant at their original levels. Individual level probabilities were calculated for all persons in the Gompertz duration model (n = 8,093), with means calculated for the relevant subpopulation of persons who entered a nursing home over the 10-year study period (n = 939).

^aPredominantly relatives, including grandchildren (excluding a spouse or adult child).