Figure 3.
Smoking cessation rates for men in California and all other states by age, 1981–1999. The actual rates (dots) represent the 3-year moving average of the observed cessation rates for California (CA) and all other states (OTH). The predicted CA rates mean the predicted cessation rates from the time series model under the factual situation. The simulated CA rates mean the predicted cessation rates from the time series model under the counterfactual situation.