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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Nov 9.
Published in final edited form as: J Biopharm Stat. 2009;19(3):437–455. doi: 10.1080/10543400902800486

Table V.

Simulation Results Based on 10,000 Realizations for Distribution 4

Traditional Method CRM with Escalation/De-escalation Decisions Based on Complete Cohorts CRM with Escalation/De-escalation Decisions Based on Incomplete Cohorts
Dose Actual Toxicity Probability Percent Chosen Experimentation Percentage Percent Chosen Experimentation Percentage Percent Chosen Experimentation Percentage
1 1% 0.0% 14.9% 0.0% 13.2% 0.04% 12.9%
2 1% 2.6% 15.3% 0.8% 14.2% 0.9% 14.0%
3 5% 9.7% 17.8% 7.8% 18.4% 7.4% 18.3%
4 10% 39.1% 21.8% 40.5% 26.8% 40.6% 27.4%
5 25% 48.3% 22.5% 50.7% 22.6% 51.0% 22.8%
6 80% 0.0 7.8% 0.1% 4.8% 0.1% 4.8%
Median Sample Size (Range) 21 (6–33) 19 (3–40) 20 (3–42)
Median % Toxicity (Range) 14.3% (5–33%) 13.3% (6–67%) 13.6% (0–67%)
% of Trials Revisiting a Dose with ≥ 2 DLTs - 10.2% 24.7%
% of Trials with ≥ 3 DLTs at a Dose 40.0% 18.7% 21.2%