Table 2. Results for a Less Developed Country (LDC), influenza-related mortality and hospitalizations unadjusted, = 1.6.
LDC (unadjusted) | Day 1 | Day 20 | Day 40 | Day 60 | Day 80 | Day 90 | |
2% coverage | Optimal strategy (hospitalizations) | [0 41 0 0] | [0 41 0 0] | [0 41 0 0] | [0 41 0 0] | [0 41 0 0] | [0 41 0 0] |
Illness Attack Rate (%) | 32.7 | 32.7 | 32.8 | 34 | 34.4 | 34.5 | |
Hospitalizations (per 100 cases) | 0.3979 | 0.3981 | 0.4004 | 0.4213 | 0.4438 | 0.4470 | |
Optimal strategy (deaths) | [0 41 0 0] | [0 41 0 0] | [0 41 0 0] | [0 0 0 21] | [0 0 0 21] | [0 0 0 21] | |
Illness Attack Rate (%) | 32.7 | 32.7 | 32.8 | 34 | 34.4 | 34.5 | |
Deaths (per 1000 cases) | 0.1127 | 0.1127 | 0.1130 | 0.1139 | 0.1180 | 0.1189 | |
15% coverage | Optimal strategy (hospitalizations) | [20 100 0 0] | [20 100 0 0] | [20 100 0 0] | [1 100 0 100] | [1 100 0 100] | [1 100 0 100] |
Illness Attack Rate (%) | 19.3 | 19.5 | 20.4 | 29.4 | 33.4 | 34.2 | |
Hospitalizations (per 100 cases) | 0.3290 | 0.3296 | 0.3380 | 0.3529 | 0.4313 | 0.4460 | |
Optimal strategy (deaths) | [1 100 0 100] | [1 100 0 100] | [1 100 0 100] | [1 100 0 100] | [0 100 2 100] | [0 100 2 100] | |
Illness Attack Rate (%) | 26.1 | 26.1 | 26.4 | 29.4 | 33.4 | 34.2 | |
Deaths (per 1000 cases) | 0.0599 | 0.0600 | 0.0625 | 0.0851 | 0.1119 | 0.1165 | |
25% coverage | Optimal strategy (hospitalizations) | [40 100 0 0] | [40 100 0 0] | [40 100 0 0] | [21 100 0 100] | [21 100 0 100] | [21 100 0 100] |
Illness Attack Rate (%) | 1.25 | 5.3 | 10.2 | 24.7 | 32.6 | 33.8 | |
Hospitalizations (per 100 cases) | 0.3378 | 0.3422 | 0.3581 | 0.3706 | 0.4354 | 0.4438 | |
Optimal strategy (deaths) | [40 100 0 0] | [40 100 0 0] | [40 100 0 0] | [21 100 0 100] | [14 100 10 100] | [0 100 30 100] | |
Illness Attack Rate (%) | 1.25 | 5.3 | 10.21 | 24.72 | 32.7 | 33.9 | |
Deaths (per 1000 cases) | 0.1141 | 0.1169 | 0.1187 | 0.0905 | 0.1129 | 0.1166 |