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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Adolesc. 2010 Aug 13;34(3):407–420. doi: 10.1016/j.adolescence.2010.07.001

Table 5.

Latent Transition Probabilities Based on the Estimated Models for White (N = 1625) and AA (N = 600) Girls

WAVE 2
Abstainers Experimenters Moderate
Drinkers		 Heavy
Drinkers		 Problem
Drinkers
WAVE 1
White Girls
 Abstainers .744 .146 .075 .035 --
 Experimenters .360 .345 .247 .049 --
 Moderate Drinkers .198 .094 .540 .167 --
 Heavy Drinkers .093 .005 .263 .639 --
AA Girls
 Abstainers .840 .122 -- -- .038
 Experimenters .441 .482 -- -- .077
 Problem Drinkers .169 .322 -- -- .510

Note. Numbers in the table represent the estimated conditional probability of membership in the latent classes at Wave 2 given class membership at Wave 1. Bolded numbers on the diagonal represent stability in class membership across time, and the off-diagonals represent movement among the classes. All reported results were adjusted for the weighted sampling design of Add Health.