Table C1.
A priori models used for the analysis of A) recapture probability (p), B) recovery probability (r), and C) survival probability (age models only; S), using a 3-month time step. All combinations of p, r, and S models in this table were run. We also tested for the effect of season (wet vs. dry) on S, using the top model(s) from this analysis. For all models, p and r were fixed at 1 for radio-collared panthers. We fixed p at 0 for kittens younger than 6 months old and for kittens younger than 9 months old after November 2001 for all models. All models estimated non-kitten survival as the interaction of sex and age-class (sub-adult or adult); therefore, we only describe how kitten survival was modeled.
| A) Model for p | Description |
|---|---|
| 1. p(k:DO, s&a) | Recapture probability differs between kittens and older panthers, and between kittens with dam origin of Florida and Texas. |
| 2. p(k, s&a) | Recapture probability differs between kittens and older panthers. |
| 3. p(.) | Recapture probability is the same for all panthers. |
| B) Model for r | Description |
| 4. r(k<3, k≥3, s&a) | Recovery probability differs between kittens in their first three months, older kittens, and non-kittens. |
| 5. r(k<3, ≥3) | Recovery probability differs between kittens in their first three months and older panthers. |
| 6. r(.) | Recovery probability the same for all panthers. |
| C) Model for S | Description |
| 7. S(k<3, 3≤k<6, 6≤k<9, k≥9) | Age effect (survival differs between each of 4 3-month age intervals) |
| 8. S(k<6, 6≤k<9, k≥9) | Age effect (survival same for first two age intervals) |
| 9. S(k<3, 3≤k<9, k≥9) | Age effect (survival same for second two age intervals) |
| 10. S(k<6, k≥6) | Age effect (survival same for first two age intervals, same for second two age intervals) |
| 11. S(k<3, k≥3) | Age effect (survival same for last three age intervals) |
| 12. S(AT) | Age trend (survival over the first 4 3-month intervals as a linear trend) |
| 13. S(.) | Survival same for all kittens |