Table 1.
Day | Method | MSE | MAE | Empirical coverage of 90% PI |
Average length of 90% PI |
Average predictive variance |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06/21/2001 | Ordinary kriging | 37 | 4.9 | 90% | 21 | 40 |
Bayesian melding | 35 | 4.8 | 78% | 14 | 19 | |
Downscaler | 10 | 2.5 | 99% | 19 | 35 | |
07/10/2001 | Ordinary kriging | 39 | 4.7 | 96% | 23 | 48 |
Bayesian melding | 32 | 4.3 | 88% | 17 | 26 | |
Downscaler | 16 | 2.9 | 97% | 21 | 43 | |
08/11/2001 | Ordinary kriging | 31 | 4.4 | 91% | 21 | 41 |
Bayesian melding | 15 | 3.0 | 79% | 12 | 13 | |
Downscaler | 6 | 1.9 | 97% | 17 | 29 |