Table 8.

Recent estimates of mortality (as deaths per 10 000 person-days) in the regions surrounding the four study sites and nationally

	CMR	Under 5 years mortality rate
Afghanistan	Kabul District surveys (includes residents or returnees only, and rural areas in the district): 1999–2002: 0.16 (Bartlett et al.)20 2001: 0.20 2003: 0.50 2004: 0.30 2006: 0.76 National in 2008: 0.49a, 0.55b This study: 0.24	2001: 0.54 2003: 0.59 2004: 0.63 2006: 0.73 2001–06: 0.45 (calculated based on data in Mashal et al.)21 This study: 0.49
Thailand	Tak Province in 2007: 0.17 (Thailand demographic surveillance; pers. comm., Oliver Morgan) National in 2008: 0.16a, 0.25b This study: 0.23	[no survey found] This study: ≥0.49
Malawi	Southern and Central Regions (surveys): 2005: 0.45 2006: 0.10, 0.26, 0.30, 0.40, 0.40, 0.41, 0.41, 0.80, 0.90, 1.90, 2.20, 2.50 (median: 0.41) 2007: 0.38 National in 2008: 0.41a, 0.33b This study: 0.51	2003: 1.57 2005: 1.20 2006: 0.40, 0.78, 1.60, 2.10, 3.40, 3.80 2007: 0.71, 0.82 This study: 0.84
Tanzania	[no regional surveys found] National in 2008: 0.36a, 0.30b This study: 0.18	2004: 0.72c This study: 0.43

Unless otherwise referenced, data are as reported by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters’ Complex Emergency Database (http://www.cedat.be)²², after excluding reports of zero mortality on plausibility grounds.

^aUS Census Bureau International Database.²³

^bUNICEF data using data from the UN Population Division's ‘United Nations World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision’.²⁴

^cData converted from rate per 1000 live births to rate per 10 000 person-days using the following calculation: [under 5 mortality rate per 1000 live births (112) × 1000 × birth rate per 1000 persons (42.4)] × (10 000/365)/[proportion of under 5's in the population (18.2%)]. All data from the Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey 2004–05.²⁵