Table 4. Assessment of control options by simulations assuming 90% of enforcement was achieved.
Control options | Reduction rate (percentage) | Incidence avoided | Inputs | Feasibility | Negative impact | Assessment |
Construct a boiling centre in Mbarara | 47.4 (21.6–70.1) | 477 (224–710) | A boiling centre, legislation, fuel | Middle-high | Price up | Recommendable |
Construct boiling centres in peri-urban Kampala | 82.0 (71.0–89.0) | 825 (702–926) | Boiling centres, legislation, fuel | Middle | Price up, peri-urban soon becomes urban | Recommendable |
Enforce milk shops to boil milk or to purchase boiled milk | 56.6 (35.9–75.0) | 568 (361–759) | Legislation, fuel, facility, enforce | Very low | Price up, corporation less likely to be given | Not recommendable |
Ban of farm gate milk sales | 0 (0.0–0.0) | 0 (0–0) | Legislation, enforcement | Low | Alternative sellers may not boil | Not recommendable |
Ban of urban dairy farming | −11.8 (−19.4–−5.4) | −118 (−196–−54) | Legislation, enforcement | Middle | Livelihood of urban farmers, milk supply shortage | Not recommendable |
Ban of milk sales by vendors with a bicycle | 0.0 (0.0–0.0) | 0 (0–0) | Legislation, enforcement | High | Livelihood of vendors, alternative sellers may not boil | Not recommendable |
Ban of roadside milk sales | 0 (0.0–0.0) | 0 (0–0) | Legislation, enforcement | High | Livelihood of vendors, alternative sellers may not boil | Not recommendable |
Ban of milk sales at shops without refrigerators | −0.4 (−0.9–−0.1) | −4 (−10–−1) | Legislation, enforcement | High | Livelihood of vendors, alternative sellers may not boil | Not recommendable |
Within () is 90% confidence interval.