Table 5. Sensitivity analysis results in the order of the sensitivity to the probability of purchasing infected milk with Brucella.
Order | Parameters | Values with 50th, 1st & 99th percentiles | Mean probability of purchasing infected milk at the values |
1 | Milk infection rate in Mbarara | 0.094 (0.063–0.125) | 0.114 (0.096–0.133) |
2 | Milk infection rate in PU areas | 0.162 (0.109–0.215) | 0.112 (0.102–0.121) |
3 | Milk infection rate in urban areas | 0.165 (0.111–0.219) | 0.140 (0.133–0.148) |
4 | Sales of milk produced in PU and sold to urban areas by vendors with a bicycle (t/day) | 38.9 (26.2–51.6) | 0.135 (0.127–0.141) |
5 | Sales of milk produced and sold in urban areas by vendors with a bicycle (t/day) | 38.3 (25.8–50.8) | 0.125 (0.122–0.128) |
6 | Sales of milk produced in Mbarara and sold to retail milk shops with a bulk cooler (t/day) | 130.2 (87.7–172.7) | 0.127 (0.125–0.129) |