Table 1. Description of variables used in the model.
Variable/Description | Data | Value used |
Probability of new parasite being introduced to population | - | 0.02/day |
Probability of mosquito surviving one feeding cycle | 0.58–0.70 [14], [43] | 0.65 |
Length of feeding cycle | 2.7–3.7 days [14], [43] | 3 days |
Probability of mosquito feeding on human | 0.72–0.95 [14] | 0.75 |
Size of mosquito blood meal | 0.97 µl (median value) [44] | 1 µl |
Length of extrinsic incubation period (EIP) | Temp. dependent [45] | 9 days (at 28°C) |
Larval development time | Temp. dependent [45] | 12 days (at 28°C) |
Probability of infectious mosquito bite resulting in liver stage infection | 0.583 [29] | 0.6 |
Duration of liver stage infection | 6 days [46] | 6 days |
Proportion of gametocytes that are male | 0.2–0.3 [47], [48] | 0.25 |
Total number of antigenically distinct var genes in parasite population | 350–1230* [49] | 400 |
Number of var genes per parasite | 59 [50] | 60 |
Maximum parasite replication rate in the absence of any immune response (R) | 8–32 [51] | 16 |
*represents number of sequence types which may be more than antigenic types.