Table 3. Results of fit to serological data after removal of “large scale” contacts.
q | Deviance | AIC | R0 | ||
Little Italy Type 1 | All contacts | 0.0293 (0.0284, 0.0301) | 135.61 (1 df) | 402.11 | 1.716 |
Without transportation | 0.0293 (0.0284, 0.0301) | 135.65 (1 df) | 402.14 | 1.713 | |
Without transportation & malls | 0.0294 (0.0286, 0.0303) | 138.36 (1 df) | 404.85 | 1.661 | |
Little Italy Type 3 | All contacts | 0.818 (0.796, 0.842) | 159.90 (1 df) | 426.39 | 1.982 |
Without transportation | 0.826 (0.804, 0.850) | 160.70 (1 df) | 427.2 | 1.96 | |
Without transportation & malls | 0.867 (0.844, 0.893) | 200.11 (1 df) | 466.61 | 1.639 |
Fit to B19 data by Little Italy Type 1 and Type 3 matrices: comparison between the case where all contacts are considered vs the cases where: a) contacts on transportations are excluded, and b) also contacts on shopping malls are excluded. Figures for the “All contacts” case are the same as in Tab. 2.