Table 4.
Random- and Fixed-Effects Logistic Regression Models Predicting No Contact With Child in the Past Year
| Variable | Model 1 |
Model 2 |
Model 3 |
Model 4 |
Model 5 |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeff. | SE | OR | Coeff. | SE | OR | Coeff. | SE | OR | Coeff. | SE | OR | Coeff. | SE | OR | |
| Subsequent Relationships | |||||||||||||||
| Mother has new partner | 0.70 | 0.15 | 2.01*** | 0.69 | 0.15 | 1.98*** | 0.86 | 0.22 | 2.36*** | 0.45 | 0.20 | 1.57* | 0.59 | 0.19 | 1.81** |
| Three-year survey | — | — | –0.35 | 0.28 | 0.71 | — | — | ||||||||
| Mother’s prior muliple-partner fertility | — | — | — | 0.51 | 0.30 | 1.66† | — | ||||||||
| Father’s prior muliple-partner fertility | — | — | — | 0.27 | 0.38 | 1.31 | — | ||||||||
| Father has new partner | 0.11 | 0.16 | 1.12 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 1.10 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 1.17 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 1.17 | –0.06 | 0.18 | 0.95 |
| Three-year survey | — | — | –0.16 | 0.30 | 0.86 | — | — | ||||||||
| Mother’s prior muliple-partner fertility | — | — | — | 0.85 | 0.39 | 2.33* | — | ||||||||
| Father’s prior muliple-partner fertility | — | — | — | −0.53 | 0.31 | 0.58† | — | ||||||||
| Mother has new child | 0.61 | 0.21 | 1.83** | 0.55 | 0.21 | 1.73** | 1.56 | 0.55 | 4.76*** | 0.66 | 0.27 | 1.93* | 0.48 | 0.25 | 1.62† |
| Three-year survey | — | — | −1.26 | 0.59 | 0.28*** | — | — | ||||||||
| Mother’s prior muliple-partner fertility | — | — | — | −0.50 | 0.41 | 0.60 | — | ||||||||
| Father’s prior muliple-partner fertility | — | — | — | 0.45 | 0.53 | 1.56 | — | ||||||||
| Father has new child | 0.06 | 0.26 | 1.06 | −0.02 | 0.27 | 0.98 | 0.26 | 0.47 | 1.29 | 0.04 | 0.33 | 1.04 | −0.06 | 0.27 | 0.94 |
| Three-year survey | — | — | −0.35 | 0.52 | 0.7 | — | — | ||||||||
| Mother’s prior multiple-partner fertility | — | — | — | −0.02 | 0.54 | 0.98 | — | ||||||||
| Father’s prior multiple-partner fertility | — | — | — | 0.05 | 0.03 | 1.02 | — | ||||||||
| Time since coresidence ended | 0.66 | 0.10 | 1.94*** | 0.68 | 0.10 | 1.96*** | 0.62 | 0.11 | 1.87*** | 0.68 | 0.11 | 1.96*** | 1.04 | 0.10 | 2.83*** |
| Three-year survey | 0.08 | 0.16 | 1.09 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 1.08 | 0.41 | 0.20 | 1.51* | 0.09 | 0.16 | 1.09 | — | ||
| Mother’s prior multiple-partner fertility | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1.16 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 1.12 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 1.17 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1.15 | — | ||
| Father’s prior multiple-partner fertility | −0.84 | 0.19 | 0.43*** | −0.92 | 0.20 | 0.39*** | −0.92 | 0.20 | 0.39*** | −1.29 | 0.25 | 0.27*** | — | ||
| Time-Varying Controls | |||||||||||||||
| Father employed at prior wave | — | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1.12 | −0.56 | 0.19 | 0.57** | ||
| Father’s earnings (in $1,000s) | — | −0.020 | 0.001 | 0.99** | −0.02 | 0.001 | 0.99** | −0.02 | 0.001 | 0.99** | 0.002 | 0.009 | 1.00 | ||
| Father ever in jail or prison | — | 0.36 | 0.15 | 1.43* | 0.36 | 0.15 | 1.43* | 0.36 | 0.15 | 1.43* | 0.69 | 0.29 | 1.23* | ||
| Father used drugs | — | 0.54 | 0.17 | 1.71** | 0.50 | 0.17 | 1.65** | 0.55 | 0.17 | 1.73** | −0.15 | 0.23 | 1.16 | ||
| Mother’s health | — | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1.07 | ||
| Time-Constant Controls | |||||||||||||||
| Father’s race/ethnicity | |||||||||||||||
| Hispanic | 0.96 | 0.17 | 2.61*** | 1.01 | 0.18 | 2.75*** | 1.04 | 0.18 | 2.82*** | 1.03 | 0.18 | 2.79*** | — | ||
| Non-Hispanic white | 0.40 | 0.26 | 1.49 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 1.45 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 1.46 | 0.39 | 0.27 | 1.48 | — | ||
| Non-Hispanic other | 0.28 | 0.42 | 1.33 | 0.27 | 0.42 | 1.31 | 0.25 | 0.42 | 1.28 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 1.30 | — | ||
| Father’s age (in years) | 0.03 | 0.01 | 1.03** | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1.04*** | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1.04** | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1.04*** | — | ||
| Father’s education | |||||||||||||||
| Less than high school | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1.19 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 1.07 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 1.07 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 1.08 | — | ||
| Some college | −0.56 | 0.22 | 0.57** | −0.48 | 0.22 | 0.62* | −0.47 | 0.22 | 0.62* | −0.50 | 0.22 | 0.61 | — | ||
| College or more | 0.13 | 0.44 | 1.14 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 1.65 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 1.66 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 1.65 | — | ||
| Child is male | −0.04 | 0.14 | 0.96 | −0.01 | 0.14 | 0.98 | −0.01 | 0.14 | 0.99 | −0.01 | 0.14 | 0.99 | — | ||
| Prior shared children | −0.49 | 0.17 | 0.61** | −0.54 | 0.17 | 0.58** | −0.53 | 0.17 | 0.56** | −0.56 | 0.17 | 0.57** | — | ||
| Nonintact family at age 16 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 1.26 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 1.27 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 1.28 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 1.26 | — | ||
| Financial contributions in pregnancy | −1.54 | 0.16 | 0.21*** | −1.50 | 0.16 | 0.22*** | −1.53 | 0.16 | 0.22*** | −1.51 | 0.16 | 0.22*** | — | ||
| Constant | −3.87*** 0.45 | −4.12*** | 0.48 | −4.10*** | 0.48 | −4.13*** 0.48 | |||||||||
| Pseudo-R2 | .12 | .12 | .13 | .13 | .15 | ||||||||||
| Fixed Effects | X | ||||||||||||||
Notes: The sample is restricted to couples who had a nonmarital birth and in which the father was nonresident at one or more survey waves. Random-effects regressions are based on 2,266 unique cases and 4,890 person-wave observations. Fixed-effects regressions are based on the 705 unique cases in which a change in the dependent variable occurred between survey waves.
†
p < .10;
*
p < .05;
**
p < .01;
***
p < .001