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. 2010 Nov;47(4):895–921. doi: 10.1007/BF03213732

Table 7.

Predicted Divorce Probabilities for Representative Women and Men

Sample Useda Marriage Duration (months) Level of Risk Tolerance (RT)b
Min. = .08 p10 = .11 Med. = .34 p90 = 1.03 Max. = 5.50
Women 13–24 .033 (.004) .033 (.005) .034 (.005) .037 (.005) .059 (.015)
Women 37–48 .034 (.005) .034 (.005) .035 (.005) .038 (.005) .060 (.016)
Women 61–72 .025 (.004) .025 (.004) .026 (.004) .028 (.004) .046 (.013)
Min. = .07 p10 = .13 Med. = .44 p90 = 1.64 Max. = 9.23

Men 13–24 .036 (.005) .036 (.005) .037 (.005) .039 (.006) .053 (.016)
Men 37–48 .022 (.004) .022 (.004) .023 (.004) .024 (.004) .034 (.011)
Men 61–72 .022 (.004) .022 (.004) .023 (.004) .024 (.004) .034 (.011)
Min. = .07 p10 = .12 Med. = .39 p90 = 1.32 Max. = 9.23

Women 37–48 .034 (.005) .034 (.005) .035 (.005) .039 (.005) .086 (.033)
Women + Men 37–48 .036 (.005) .036 (.005) .038 (.005) .042 (.006) .084 (.033)
Men 37–48 .022 (.004) .022 (.004) .023 (.004) .024 (.004) .034 (.011)
Women + Men 37–48 .025 (.004) .025 (.004) .025 (.004) .026 (.005) .037 (.013)

Note: Standard errors are in parentheses.

a

The representative woman or man under consideration is assigned mean values for all continuous variables (except RT) and modal values for all discrete variables (except duration), where means and modes are based on a sample of women, men, or women plus men in the given duration category.

b

The representative woman or man under consideration is assigned a level of RT equal to the minimum, 10th percentile, median, 90th percentile, and maximum values for the total sample of women (top rows), men (middle rows), or women plus men (bottom rows).