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. 2010 Dec 21;7(12):e1000384. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000384

Figure 3. Cumulative incidence of cryptococcal IRIS.

Figure 3

The data are based on a weighed predictive biomarker score composed of pre-ART serum levels of seven biomarkers—IL-4, IL-17, G-CSF, GM-CSF, CCL2 (MCP-1), TNF-α, and VEGF—calculated as follows. Probability of IRIS = Inline graphic where:
graphic file with name pmed.1000384.e002.jpg
Probability risk is scored from 0 to 1.0 with the categorical classification being defined for low risk (0–0.40), moderate risk (0.41–0.60), and high risk (0.61–1.0). The performance as quantified by the AUC is 0.82 for correct prediction (i.e. C-statistic).