Table 1.

Stomach cancer mortality rates (age standardized, per 100,000), by scenario, country and sex, for 2005 (observed) and 2030 (projected)

	Year	Country
		Denmark	United Kingdom	Finland	France	Netherlands	Norway	Sweden
Men
Reference	2005	7.40	12.95	11.09	9.87	11.40	10.37	10.27
	2030	2.62	4.22	3.80	3.39	3.84	3.74	3.48
Scenario	2030/2005a	0.35	0.33	0.34	0.34	0.34	0.36	0.34
Pessimistic	2030	3.21	5.06	4.60	4.10	4.62	4.52	4.21
Scenario	2030/2005a	0.43	0.39	0.41	0.41	0.41	0.44	0.41
Optimistic	2030	1.87	3.08	2.78	2.47	2.80	2.71	2.52
Scenario	2030/2005a	0.25	0.24	0.25	0.25	0.25	0.26	0.24
Women
Reference	2005	4.73	8.02	8.69	5.49	6.70	8.44	6.22
	2030	1.59	2.34	2.91	1.81	2.32	2.39	2.29
Scenario	2030/2005a	0.34	0.29	0.34	0.33	0.35	0.28	0.37
Pessimistic	2030	2.00	2.90	3.62	2.26	2.89	2.99	2.85
Scenario	2030/2005a	0.42	0.36	0.42	0.41	0.43	0.35	0.46
Optimistic	2030	1.14	1.68	2.13	1.28	1.69	1.71	1.65
Scenario	2030/2005a	0.24	0.21	0.24	0.23	0.25	0.20	0.27

For Denmark, the values for 2005 are not observed but projected

Reference scenario = Equal future rate of change for all countries; Pessimistic scenario = Slowest observed rate of change for all countries; Optimistic scenario = Highest rate of change for all countries

^aThe figure for 2030 divided by the related figure for 2005