. 2010 Nov 18;26(1):23–28. doi: 10.1007/s10654-010-9522-9

Table 2.

Stomach cancer absolute numbers of deaths, by scenario, country and sex, for 2005 (observed) and 2030 (projected)

	Year	Country
	Year	Denmark	United Kingdom	Finland	France	Netherlands	Norway	Sweden
Men
Reference	2005	209	3914	301	3045	963	242	470
Reference	2030	112	2050	186	1675	556	155	240
Scenario	2030/2005^a	0.54	0.52	0.62	0.55	0.58	0.64	0.51
Pessimistic	2030	137	2467	225	2090	667	186	291
Scenario	2030/2005^a	0.66	0.63	0.75	0.67	0.69	0.77	0.62
Optimistic	2030	79	1480	133	1204	404	111	172
Scenario	2030/2005^a	0.38	0.38	0.44	0.40	0.42	0.46	0.37
Women
Reference	2005	131	2475	240	1789	566	196	284
Reference	2030	58	1021	119	877	290	81	138
Scenario	2030/2005^a	0.44	0.41	0.50	0.49	0.51	0.41	0.49
Pessimistic	2030	73	1266	148	1100	360	101	171
Scenario	2030/2005^a	0.56	0.51	0.62	0.62	0.64	0.51	0.60
Optimistic	2030	41	725	84	606	209	58	98
Scenario	2030/2005^a	0.32	0.29	0.35	0.34	0.37	0.30	0.35

For Denmark, the values for 2005 are not observed but projected

Reference scenario = Equal future rate of change for all countries; Pessimistic scenario = Slowest observed rate of change for all countries; Optimistic scenario = Highest rate of change for all countries

^aThe figure for 2030 divided by the related figure for 2005