Table 5.
Simulated data: negative LPML (smaller is better).
| Sim | Model | County | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| 1 | Model 1A r = 0.99 | 178.8 | 206.8 | 215.2 | 209.9 | 215.5 | 207.3 | 179.8 | 1413.3 |
| Model 1A r = 0.0 | 182.8 | 213.1 | 222.0 | 204.4 | 222.1 | 214.5 | 185.2 | 1444.1 | |
| HBF-frailty | 183.8 | 209.5 | 212.1 | 218.2 | 211.9 | 203.8 | 180.8 | 1429.5 | |
| CAR B-spline | 181.8 | 208.8 | 217.9 | 206.9 | 218.3 | 208.9 | 182.9 | 1425.5 | |
| 2 | Model 1A r = 0.99 | 147.6 | 157.4 | 180.1 | 200.4 | 211.9 | 216.9 | 222.4 | 1336.7 |
| Model 1A r = 0.0 | 151.4 | 162.6 | 185.3 | 205.1 | 217.0 | 223.1 | 226.9 | 1371.3 | |
| HBF-frailty | 177.0 | 179.2 | 186.4 | 198.6 | 216.1 | 239.7 | 270.7 | 1467.8 | |
| CAR B-spline | 148.1 | 158.1 | 181.8 | 201.9 | 213.1 | 217.9 | 223.6 | 1344.5 | |
| 3 | Model 1A r = 0.99 | 219.0 | 210.6 | 205.2 | 199.4 | 191.9 | 181.9 | 170.4 | 1378.4 |
| Model 1A r = 0.0 | 221.6 | 215.6 | 209.9 | 203.3 | 195.0 | 184.3 | 170.5 | 1400.2 | |
| HBF-frailty | 211.6 | 205.2 | 200.0 | 194.0 | 186.2 | 176.0 | 162.9 | 1335.9 | |
| CAR B-spline | 221.6 | 212.9 | 207.2 | 200.8 | 192.5 | 181.9 | 170.0 | 1386.9 | |