Appendix Table 2.

Median Generalized Impact Fraction and Attributable Fraction (With 2.5%–97.5% Simulation Intervals) for Heart Failure Derived From 10,000 Bootstrapped Data Sets Using the Case-Load Weighted-Sum Method, Given 10 Scenarios of Reduced Prevalence of Obesity and Overweight, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, 1987–2003

Scenario No.	Hypothetical Weight Reduction Scenario	Median Generalized Impact Fraction (× 100)	95% Simulation Interval
1	15% reduction in obesity, shift obese to overweight	2.9	2.3, 3.5
2	15% reduction in obesity, shift obese to normal weight	3.4	2.7, 4.0
3	15% reduction in obesity and overweight, shift both down 1 category	3.7	3.0, 4.5
4	15% reduction in obesity and overweight, shift both to normal weight	4.2	3.0, 5.4
5	30% reduction in obesity, shift obese to overweight	5.7	4.6, 7.0
6	30% reduction in obesity, shift obese to normal weight	6.7	5.4, 8.0
7	30% reduction in obesity and overweight, shift both down 1 category	7.4	6.0, 9.0
8	30% reduction in obesity and overweight, shift both to normal weight	8.5	6.1, 10.7
9	Complete elimination of obesity, shift to normal weight	22.0	18.0, 27.0
10	Complete elimination of obesity and overweight, shift to normal weight	28.0	20.0, 36.0