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. 2011 Jan 25;5(1):e952. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000952

Table 5. Cases that would have been prevented by mass oral vaccination oral cholera vaccine in three endemic sites.

Site Year Population Outbreak duration Total cholera cases Attack rate/ 1000 No. (%) cholera cases prevented at variable response times with 50% vaccine coverage No. (%) cholera cases prevented at variable response times with 75% vaccine coverage
Rapid Delayed Maximum Rapid Delayed Maximum
Zimbabwe 2008–09 13,349,000 54 wks 98,591 7.39 34,900 (40) 12,789 (13) 474 (0) 59,100 (60) 19,183 (19) 711 (1)
Kolkata 2003 30 wks 53 0.91 19 (36) 7 (13) 0 (0) 29 (54) 10 (19) 0 (0)
2004 58,063 36 wks 136 2.34 18 (13) 14 (10) 3 (3) 27 (20) 21 (15) 5 (4)
2005 41 wks 33 0.59 8 (23) 5 (14) 1 (3) 11 (35) 7 (21) 1 (4)
Unguja 1997–98 534,512 35 wks 452 0.85 108 (24) 73 (16) 6 (1) 162 (36) 110 (24) 8 (2)
2002–03 643,905 88wks 687 1.07 164 (24) 163 (24) 162 (24) 246 (36) 243 (35) 243 (35)
2004–05 692,591 36wks 286 0.41 57 (20) 45 (16) 7 (3) 86 (30) 67 (23) 11 (4)
2006–07 745,262 63 wks 1974 2.65 558 (28) 610 (31) 546 (28) 837 (42) 915 (46) 819 (41)
Pemba 2002–03 368,910 14wks 119 0.32 5 (4) 0 (0) 0 (0) 8 (6) 0 (0) 0 (0)
2003–04 377,206 55 wks 862 2.29 253 (29) 261 (30) 124 (14) 379 (44) 391 (45) 186 (22)
2006–07 403,229 75 wks 1260 3.12 304 (24) 217 (17) 212 (17) 457 (36) 326 (26) 317 (25)

Mass vaccination is presumed to be using the currently licensed two-dose oral cholera vaccine at varying response times and vaccine coverage.