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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2011 Feb 4.
Published in final edited form as: Sci Transl Med. 2010 May 5;2(30):30ra32. doi: 10.1126/scitranslmed.3000544

Table 1.

Probabilities and rates of generation of various HCV mutants.

Time Number of nucleotide changes Probability Number of virions generated per day Number of all possible mutants Fraction of all possible mutants created per day
Before therapy 0 0.91 9.1×1011
1 0.087 8.7×1010 2.9×104 1
2 0.0042 4.2×109 4.1×108 1
3 0.00013 1.3×108 4.0×1012 3.4×10-5
End of first day of therapy* 0 0.91 9.1×106
1 0.087 8.7×105 2.9×104 1
2 0.0042 4.2×104 4.1×108 1.0×10-4
3 0.00013 1.3×103 4.0×1012 3.4×10-10
*

Additional drug-resistant or compensatory mutation after a 5-log10 decrease in the HCV RNA production during treatment.