Table 5. AUC for Incident CVD by Imaging Measures of Subclinical Disease.

Measure	Overall (n=4965)	Men (n=2365)	Women (n=2600)
CHD (n=187)
Base model*	0.766	0.714	0.805
Base model+CAC	0.815†	0.785†	0.835‡
Base model+carotid IMT	0.777‡	0.720	0.820
Base model+LV mass	0.768	0.722	0.805
Base model+LV mass/volume	0.772‡	0.725	0.809
Base model+CAC+IMT+LV mass	0.817†	0.787†	0.837
Stroke (n=65)
Base model	0.835	0.834	0.858
Base model+CAC	0.836	0.838	0.857
Base model+carotid IMT	0.835	0.833	0.856
Base model+LV mass	0.843	0.839	0.869
Base model+LV mass/volume	0.843	0.841	0.864
Base model+CAC+IMT+LV mass	0.844	0.840	0.867
Heart failure (n=91)
Base model	0.818	0.790	0.851
Base model+CAC	0.826	0.794	0.862
Base model+carotid IMT	0.818	0.791	0.851
Base model+LV mass	0.853‡	0.845§	0.868
Base model+LV mass/volume	0.818	0.790	0.858
Base model+CAC+IMT+LV mass	0.856‡	0.849§	0.881
All CVD (n=297)
Base model	0.773	0.738	0.806
Base model+CAC	0.797‖	0.777§	0.819
Base model+carotid IMT	0.775	0.739	0.810
Base model+LV mass	0.785‡	0.757‡	0.811
Base model+LV mass/volume	0.777	0.745	0.806
Base model+CAC+IMT+LV mass	0.806†	0.790†	0.824‡

P values stand for comparison with the respective base model. CAC score refers to the natural logarithm of (CAC+1) values. Carotid IMT refers to a composite z score for overall maximal IMT. LV mass was adjusted for body size when implied as a separate imaging measure but not in LV mass/volume ratio. Boldface indicates to imaging measures leading to the highest increment in AUC when added to the base model.

^*Consists of traditional risk factors only.

^†P≤0.0001.

^‡P<0.05.

^§P<0.01.

^‖P<0.001.