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. 2011 Jan 22;10:8. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-10-8

Table 11.

Logistic regression employing lagged [lag = 3 months] mr plus lagged [lag = 3 months] daa to predict monthly MVEV test site status in the Pilbara

Variable Coefficient (SE) p Odds ratio (95%)
Intercept -3.411 (0.194) < 0.01 a

Lagged mr (× 100 mm) 1.083 (0.167) < 0.01 a 2.95 (2.14-4.15)b

Lagged daa 0.096 (0.0350) < 0.01 a 1.10 (1.02-1.18)c

AIC: 448.54

ROC AUC: 0.80

a Significance

bInterpretation: after adjusting for the effect of lagged daa, 100 mm increases in lagged mr rainfall increased the odds of a site monthly testing positive to MVEV by a factor of 2.95 (95% CI 2.14 - 4.15)

cInterpretation: after adjusting for the effect of lagged mr, single day increases in daa increased the odds of a site monthly testing positive to MVEV by a factor of 1.10 (95% CI 1.02 - 1.18)