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. 2010 Nov 1;89(1):22–30. doi: 10.2471/BLT.10.078618

Table 3. Estimated average yearly drop in stunting prevalence, estimated prevalence (1990 and 2015) and target prevalence for achieving Millennium Development Goal 1 in 13 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean, data for 1966–2008.

Country Drop in prevalence
95% CI Prevalence
Progressb
Estimated
Target
PP 1990 2015a
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) −0.68 −1.12 to −0.24 39.7 22.7 19.9 Insufficient
Brazil −0.72 2.14 to 0.70 18.6 0.6 9.3 On track
Colombia −0.51 −0.79 to −0.24 23.5 10.6 11.8 On track
Costa Rica −0.11 −0.48 to 0.26 7.8 5.1 3.9 On track
Dominican Republic −0.65 −1.00 to −0.29 20.0 3.7 10.0 On track
El Salvador −0.89 −1.17 to 0.61 34.1 11.9 17.1 On track
Guatemala −0.58 −1.28 to 0.12 59.8 45.3 29.9 Insufficient
Haiti −0.74 −7.92 to 6.45 39.5 21.2 19.8 On track
Honduras −0.53 −0.77 to −0.28 39.6 26.4 19.8 Insufficient
Mexico −1.40 −3.42 to 0.62 37.7 2.6 18.9 On track
Nicaragua −1.09 −4.6 to 2.4 38.6 11.4 19.3 On track
Panama −0.24 −2.93 to 2.46 23.0 17.1 11.5 Insufficient
Peru −0.55 −1.41 to 0.31 37.3 23.6 18.7 Insufficient

CI, confidence interval; PP, percentage points.

a The predicted prevalence in 2015 was estimated by calculating the average annual change (in PP) per year between the first and last survey for each indicator in each country and applying the same rate of decline until 2015.

b Countries were deemed to be on track towards achieving MDG 1 if they were within 2 percentage points of the target prevalence.