Table 2. Prior information (uniform distributions) based on expert opinion.
Parameters | Constrains |
Sensitivity of the microscopy for the detection of infected individuals | [0.7–1] |
Specificity of the microscopy for the detection of non-infected individuals | [0.9–1] |
Probability to have a positive result for the ELISA if the individual is infected and positive for the microscopy | [0.7–1] |
Probability to have a positive result for the ELISA if the individual is infected and negative for the microscopy | [0–1] |
Probability to have a negative result for the ELISA if the individual is not infected and negative for the microscopy | [0–1] |
Probability to have a negative result for the ELISA if the individual is not infected and positive for the microscopy | [0–1] |
Probability to have a positive result for the PCR if the individual is infected and positive for the microscopy and the ELISA** | [0.98–1] |
Probability to have a positive result for the PCR if the individual is infected, positive for the microscopy and negative for the ELISA** | [0.98–1] |
Probability to have a positive result for the PCR if the individual is infected, negative for the microscopy and positive for the ELISA** | [0.75–1] |
Probability to have a positive result for the PCR if the individual is infected and negative for the microscopy and the ELISA** | [0.75–1] |
Probability to have a negative result for the PCR if the individual is not infected and negative for the microscopy and the ELISA** | [0.95–1] |
Probability to have a negative result for the PCR if the individual is not infected, negative for the microscopy and positive for the ELISA** | [0.9–1] |
Probability to have a negative result for the PCR if the individual is not infected, positive for the microscopy and negative for the ELISA** | [0.9–1] |
Probability to have a negative result for the PCR if the individual is not infected and positive for the microscopy and the ELISA** | [0.9–1] |
ELISA = Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; PCR = Polymerase Chain Reaction.
**for Vietnam. Peru Iquitos and Peru Jaen only.