Table 3. Results of cost-effectiveness analysis of potential outbreaks and responses, Singapore*.
| Alert level and disease | No. infected | No. deaths | Additional cost | Cost/case prevented† | Cost/death prevented† | Incremental cost/case‡ | Incremental cost/death‡ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | |||||||
| Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 | 2,580 | 10 | 25,200 | ||||
| Spanish influenza | 3,210 | 161 | 80,000 | ||||
| SARS |
825 |
83 |
99,200 |
|
|
|
|
| Green | |||||||
| Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 | 316 | 1 | 326,430 | 95 | 23,644 | ||
| Spanish influenza | 624 | 31 | 468,000 | 107 | 2,140 | ||
| SARS |
105 |
11 |
220,500 |
120 |
1,195 |
|
|
| Yellow | |||||||
| Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 | 59 | 0.2 | 1,485,500 | 414 | 103,274 | 3,221 | 827,907 |
| Spanish influenza | 120 | 6 | 2,212,000 | 493 | 9,857 | 2,472 | 49,829 |
| SARS |
43 |
4 |
1,188,000 |
995 |
9,945 |
11,146 |
121,241 |
| Orange | |||||||
| Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 | 24 | 0.1 | 1,836,000 | 506 | 126,807 | 7,153 | 2,503,600 |
| Spanish influenza | 59 | 2.95 | 2,856,000 | 629 | 12,590 | 7,541 | 153,333 |
| SARS | 12 | 1.2 | 1,537,000 | 1,263 | 12,601 | 8,041 | 7,541 |
*SARS, severe acute respiratory syndrome. All costs given in US$. †Compared with no policy. ‡Compared with 1 alert level down.