Table 4.
Risk* of disability pension according to sociodemographic and diagnostic predictors separately for men and women
| Men | Women | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | HR | 95% | CI | HR | 95% | CI | |
| Age ref < 40 years | |||||||
| 40-49 | 4.15 | 3.64 | 4.73 | 3.76 | 3.42 | 4.13 | |
| 50-59 | 10.35 | 9.11 | 11.75 | 7.34 | 6.65 | 8.09 | |
| 60-62 | 15.29 | 12.91 | 18.10 | 9.14 | 8.00 | 10.43 | |
| Education ref: > 15 years | |||||||
| < = 9 years | 1.82 | 1.51 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 1.49 | 1.87 | |
| 10-12 years | 1.59 | 1.33 | 1.92 | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.57 | |
| 12-15 years | 1.36 | 1.13 | 1.63 | 1.20 | 1.08 | 1.33 | |
| Annual income (NOK) Ref >275 000 | |||||||
| < 124 999 | 1.39 | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.12 | 0.94 | 1.33 | |
| 125 000-199 999 | 1.73 | 1.53 | 1.94 | 1.45 | 1.23 | 1.70 | |
| 200 000-274 999 | 1.52 | 1.36 | 1.68 | 1.34 | 1.14 | 1.58 | |
| Weekly working hrs, ref full time | |||||||
| 1-19 | 2.86 | 2.47 | 3.31 | 1.82 | 1.69 | 1.95 | |
| 20-30 | 1.80 | 1.46 | 2.22 | 1.15 | 1.08 | 1.24 | |
| Caring for children | |||||||
| No children | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.21 | 1.39 | |
| Diagnosis, ref back disorders | |||||||
| Rheumatic disease | 2.08 | 1.78 | 2.43 | 2.16 | 1.94 | 2.40 | |
| Osteoarthrosis | 1.45 | 1.23 | 1.71 | 1.36 | 1.20 | 1.54 | |
| Myalgia/fibromyalgia | 1.29 | 1.03 | 1.61 | 1.78 | 1.61 | 1.97 | |
| Neck problems | 1.29 | 1.14 | 1.45 | 1.01 | 0.93 | 1.10 | |
| Other | 0.88 | 0.75 | 1.03 | 0.88 | 0.80 | 0.96 | |
| Extremities | 0.82 | 0.74 | 0.90 | 0.74 | 0.69 | 0.80 | |
| Fractures/injuries | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.47 | 0.42 | 0.53 |
N = 26,307 men and 37,942 women sickness absent > 8 weeks with musculoskeletal followed up for 5 years
* Hazards ratio [HR] with 95% confidence interval [95%CI]