Table 4. Association Between Measures of Adiposity and Risk of Incident Type 2 Diabetes by Age Group, the Cardiovascular Health Study, 1989-2007.
Adiposity Measure | Patient Age Group by Tertile | P Value Interactiona | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
<75 y (n = 2840) | ≥75 y (n = 1353) | ||||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||
BMIb | |||||||
No. person-years of follow-up | 10 466 | 12 377 | 12 238 | 4878 | 4027 | 3469 | .005 |
No. cases type 2 diabetes | 36 | 66 | 168 | 17 | 28 | 24 | |
HR (95% CI)c | 1.0 | 1.6 (1.1-2.4) | 4.0 (2.8-5.7) | 1.0 | 2.0 (1.1-3.6) | 1.9 (1.0-3.6) | |
BMI at 50 years of aged | |||||||
No. person-years of follow-up | 11 893 | 12 097 | 11 092 | 4388 | 4080 | 3906 | .02 |
No. cases type 2 diabetes | 49 | 77 | 144 | 25 | 17 | 27 | |
HR (95% CI)c | 1.0 | 1.5 (1.1-2.2) | 3.0 (2.2-4.2) | 1.0 | 0.8 (0.4-1.5) | 1.3 (0.7-2.3) | |
Weighte | |||||||
No. person-years of follow-up | 9902 | 12 078 | 13 101 | 5252 | 4188 | 2933 | .08 |
No. cases type 2 diabetes | 40 | 61 | 169 | 25 | 21 | 23 | |
HR (95% CI)c | 1.0 | 1.3 (0.8-1.9) | 3.2 (2.3-4.5) | 1.0 | 1.1 (0.6-1.9) | 1.5 (0.9-2.7) | |
Fat massf | |||||||
No. person-years of follow-up | 10 164 | 12 254 | 12 664 | 5025 | 4270 | 3079 | <.001 |
No. cases type 2 diabetes | 38 | 68 | 164 | 20 | 32 | 17 | |
HR (95% CI)c | 1.0 | 1.5 (1.0-2.3) | 3.5 (2.4-4.9) | 1.0 | 1.8 (1.0-3.2) | 1.3 (0.7-2.5) | |
Waistg | |||||||
No. person-years of follow-up | 11 706 | 11 758 | 11 617 | 4716 | 3911 | 3747 | .07 |
No. cases Type 2 diabetes | 43 | 77 | 150 | 21 | 21 | 27 | |
HR (95% CI)c | 1.0 | 1.7 (1.2-2.5) | 3.5 (2.5-4.9) | 1.0 | 1.2 (0.7-2.3) | 1.6 (0.9-2.9) | |
Waist-hip ratioh | |||||||
No. person-years of follow-up | 12 497 | 11 601 | 10 983 | 4052 | 4290 | 4031 | .11 |
No. cases type 2 diabetes | 59 | 94 | 117 | 22 | 21 | 26 | |
HR (95% CI)c | 1.0 | 1.8 (1.3-2.4) | 2.3 (1.7-3.1) | 1.0 | 0.9 (0.5-1.7) | 1.3 (.7-2.3) | |
Waist-height ratioi | |||||||
No. person-years follow-up | 12 210 | 11 622 | 11 249 | 4190 | 4240 | 3944 | .06 |
No. cases type 2 diabetes | 43 | 75 | 152 | 19 | 20 | 30 | |
HR (95% CI)c | 1.0 | 1.8 (1.2-2.6) | 3.8 (2.7-5.4) | 1.0 | 1.1 (0.6-2.1) | 1.7 (1.0-3.1) |
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; HR, harzard ratio.
P value for interaction compares participants younger than 75 years of age with participants 75 years of age or older.
BMI is calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. Cut points for BMI are: women, 23.8, 27.5; men, 24.5, 27.3.
All hazard ratios are adjusted for sex, race (African American, non-African American), current smoking (yes, no), physical activity (continuous), diet score (upper 2 quintiles vs lower 3), and alcohol consumption (none, <7 drinks/wk, ≥7 drinks/wk).
Cut points for BMI at 50 years of age are 22.8 and 25.5 for women; 24.3 and 26.5 for men.
Cut points for weight (kg) are 59.7 and 70.5 for women; 72.8 and 82.6 for men.
Cut points for fat mass (kg) are 28.3 and 36.9 for women; 25.9 and 33.0 for men.
Cut points for waist circumference (cm) are 83.5 and 95.4 for women; 92.5 and 100.4 for men.
Cut points for waist-hip ratio are 0.84 and 0.93 for women; 0.94 and 0.98 for men.
Cut points for waist-height ratio are 0.53 and 0.60 for women; 0.54 and 0.58 for men.