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. 2011 Feb 1;104(5):886–891. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6606091

Table 2. Age at diagnosis of oral cavity and oropharyngeal cancers (2005), trends in mean age over time (1982–2005) and changes in age standardised incidence over time (1982–2005)a.

    Cancers diagnosed in 2005
Trends in age at diagnosis from 1982 to 2005
Changes in incidence from 1982 to 2005
Sex Cancer site Count Mean age at diagnosis (95% CI) Percentage change per calendar year (95% CI) b P-value Percentage change per calendar year (95% CI) c P-value
Males Potentially HPV associated 413 59.8 (58.8–60.9) −0.06 (−0.11, −0.01) 0.02 1.42 (1.08 to 1.76) <0.01
  Tonsil 193 57.4 (56.0–58.9) −0.18 (−0.24, −0.11) <0.01 1.39 (0.88 to 1.92) <0.01
  Base of tongue 125 60.3 (58.5–62.2) 0.02 (−0.05, 0.09 0.54 3.02 (2.27 to 3.78) <0.01
  Other oropharynx 95 64.1 (61.8–66.4) 0.09 (−0.01, 0.18) 0.06 −0.19 (−0.95 to 0.59) 0.64
  Comparison 994 64.4 (63.7–65.2) 0.12 (0.10, 0.15) <0.01 −1.69 (−1.96 to −1.42) <0.01
Females Potentially HPV associated 118 63.6 (61.6–65.6) 0.04 (−0.07, 0.14) 0.47 1.04 (0.40 to 1.68) <0.01
  Tonsil 52 63.1 (60.2–66.1) −0.03 (−0.17, 0.10) 0.61 0.12 (−0.95 to 1.19) 0.83
  Base of tongue 43 62.9 (59.5–66.3) −0.01 (−0.15, 0.14) 0.93 3.45 (2.21 to 4.70) <0.01
  Other oropharynx 23 65.8 (60.8–70.7) 0.20 (0.02, 0.39) 0.03 −0.24 (−1.57 to 1.10) 0.72
  Comparison 324 66.9 (65.4–68.5) 0.07 (0.03, 0.12) <0.01 −0.39 (−0.81 to 0.03) 0.07

Abbreviations: CI=confidence interval; HPV=human papillomavirus.

a

Squamous cell carcinomas.

b

Estimated by linear regression analysis.

c

Estimated using generalised linear models with a logarithmic link function.