Table 3.
Log-Logistic Survival Model Estimates Fitting 2-Year Predictions from the Langbehn et al. and Gutierrez & MacDonald Models to Huntington’s Disease Onset From the PREDICT-HD Data.
Ideal Calibration | Langbehn et al. | Gutierrez & MacDonald | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient | S.E. | Coefficient | S.E. | ||
Intercept | 0.693a | 0.278 | 0.223 | 0.5656 | 0.208 |
Logit of 2-year onset probability | – | −0.704 | 0.101 | −0.826 | 0.124 |
Log (Scale coefficient) | _ | −0.781 | 0.109 | −0.777 | 0.109 |
Logit(2-year probability)/Scale | −1.000 | −1.537 | 0.198 | −1.796 | 0.207 |
log(2) ≈ 0.693.
Note: Inter- rater frailty was highly statistically significant for both models: Chi-square = 52.9, 24.1 df for Langbehn et al and chi square = 51.8, df = 24.1 for Gutierrez and MacDonald. p < .0001 in both cases.