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Estimate of the future incidence of vCJD (2003–2080) compared to the UK. Mean and 95% confidence intervals in brackets.
| Fit to UK vCJD case data alone | Fit to UK vCJD case data and UK prevalence data simultaneously | |
| Republic of Ireland | 0.8 (0–15) | 2 (0–46) |
| UK | 40 (9–540) | 100 (10–2,600) |
| Fit of the model (-2LnL) | 17.84 | 26.3 |
