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. 2001 Apr 14;322(7291):893–894. doi: 10.1136/bmj.322.7291.893

Table.

Performance of human papillomavirus testing in detecting subjects with high grade disease according to age, smear history, and cut off value of test

Cut off value of test (pg/ml) Test performance (%) (95% CI)
Sensitivity Specificity Predictive values*
Positive Negative
Age
 <30 yr (n=166) 1 94 (86 to 98) 33 (24 to 43) 51 (43 to 60) 89 (74 to 96)
 ⩾30 yr (n=167) 1 91 (79 to 97) 72 (64 to 79) 55 (43 to 65) 96 (89 to 98)
Smear history
 Borderline (n=75) 1 86 (65 to 95) 76 (63 to 85) 58 (41 to 74) 93 (82 to 98)
 Mild dyskaryosis (n=117) 1 94 (84 to 98) 39 (29 to 52) 55 (44 to 65) 90 (74 to 96)
 Both types (n=141) 1 95 (85 to 99) 54 (44 to 63) 48 (38 to 59) 96 (88 to 99)
All (n=333) 1 93 (87 to 97) 55 (48 to 61) 52 (46 to 59) 94 (88 to 97)
2 91 (85 to 95) 57 (51 to 64) 53 (46 to 60) 93 (87 to 96)
4 85 (78 to 91) 62 (55 to 68) 54 (47 to 62) 89 (83 to 93)
*

Adjusted for prevalence of high grade disease. 

That there were almost exactly the same number of subjects in each of the two age groups was coincidental.