TABLE 3. Multinomial Logistic Regression Output for Predicting the Competing Risks of Taking A First Trip to Three Locations in Year t + 1.

INDEPENDENT VARIABLES IN YEAR t	Within Chitwan		To Other Districts		To Other Countries

	B	SE	B	SE	B	SE
Physical Capital
Home business	-0.186	0.155	-0.751^**	0.301	-0.958^***	0.365
Outside business	-0.135	0.277	-0.897	0.588	-0.505	0.464
Social Capital
Mother traveled internationally	-0.088	0.105	-0.07	0.177	-0.015	0.181
Father traveled internationally	0.104	0.071	0.058	0.121	0.099	0.124
Neighborhood prevalence ratio for within Chitwan migrants	0.007^***	0.002	-0.001	0.003	0.00005	0.003
Neighborhood prevalence ratio for migrants to other districts	0.009^***	0.003	0.022^***	0.005	-0.007	0.006
Neighborhood prevalence ratio for international migrants	0.007^**	0.004	-0.003	0.007	0.045^***	0.005
Human Capital
Education	0.050^***	0.009	0.100^***	0.015	0.030^*	0.016
Salary job	0.504^***	0.116	0.369^**	0.16	-0.372^*	0.221
Wage job	0.075	0.065	-0.265^**	0.135	-0.305^**	0.133
Served in the military	0.26	0.195	1.707^***	0.179	1.214^***	0.199
Neighborhood Characteristics
Electricity	-0.055	0.079	-0.310^**	0.146	-0.058	0.145
Indicator of neighborhood development	-0.005	0.027	-0.135	0.082	-0.432^***	0.144
Demographic Variables
Age	-0.160^***	0.017	-0.026	0.046	-0.172^***	0.04
Age²	0.002^***	0	-0.001	0.001	0.001^*	0.001
Gender	0.553^***	0.069	-0.718^***	0.134	-1.599^***	0.148
Marriage	0.029	0.079	-0.079	0.137	0.111	0.138
Ethnicity
Hindu upper caste	-0.282^***	0.084	0.346^*	0.178	0.688^***	0.197
Hindu lower caste	-0.102	0.106	0.897^***	0.203	1.138^***	0.211
Hill Tibeto-Burmese	-0.013	0.097	0.265	0.205	0.745^***	0.215
Newar and other	-0.328^**	0.135	0.211	0.246	-0.278	0.335
Terai Tibeto-Burmese	-	-	-	-	-	-
Constant	-1.265^***	0.261	-3.589^***	0.632	-1.194^**	0.581
No. of person years	40771

significant at 10%;

^**

significant at 5%;

^***

significant at 1%