Table 3.
Multivariable Analyses of Risk Factors associated with Severe Illness due to 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus Infection
Characteristic | OR (95% CI) | Pa |
Risk factors associated with severe 2009 H1N1 illness | ||
Among nonpregnant patients ≥ 2 years of age | ||
Male sex (vs female sex) | 1.19 (1.07–1.31) | .001 |
Delayed hospital admission (on symptom day ≥3 vs day <3) | 1.27 (1.13–1.42) | <.001 |
Age and chronic medical conditionsb | ||
2–17 years of age and without chronic medical conditions | Ref | Ref |
18–59 years of age and without chronic medical conditions | 2.12 (1.86–2.41) | <.001 |
≥ 60 years of age and without chronic medical conditions | 3.49 (2.51–4.85) | <.001 |
2–17 years of age and with chronic medical conditions | 3.93 (3.03–5.08) | <.001 |
18–59 years of age and with chronic medical conditions | 5.37 (4.55–6.34) | <.001 |
≥ 60 years of age and with chronic medical conditions | 6.88 (5.54–8.55) | <.001 |
Age and obesityb | ||
2–17 years of age | ||
Not obese | Ref | Ref |
Obese | 1.34 (1.10–1.63) | .004 |
18–59 years of age | ||
Not obese | Ref | Ref |
Obese | 1.91 (1.57–2.31) | <.001 |
≥ 60 years of age | ||
Not obese | Ref | Ref |
Obese | 0.68 (.37–1.25) | .211 |
Among female patients of reproductive age (15–49 years of age) | ||
Age ≥35 years (vs 15–34 years) | 1.40 (1.10–1.77) | .006 |
Delayed hospital admission (on symptom day ≥3 vs day <3) | 1.80 (1.47–2.19) | <.001 |
Chronic medical conditions and pregnancyb | ||
Without chronic medical conditions and nonpregnant | Ref | Ref |
With chronic medical conditions and nonpregnant | 3.62 (2.65–4.94) | <.001 |
Without chronic medical conditions but pregnant | 3.30 (2.72–4.00) | <.001 |
With chronic medical conditions and pregnant | 3.69 (2.15–6.31) | <.001 |
Effectiveness of early antiviral treatment on severe 2009 H1N1 illness among nonpregnant patients ≥ 2 years of agec | ||
Started on symptom day 1–2 | Ref | Ref |
Started on symptom day 3–4 | 1.01 (.84–1.22) | .885 |
Started on symptom day ≥5 | 1.42 (1.20–1.67) | <.001 |
NOTE. CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; Ref, reference.
Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed. Age, obesity, pregnancy, and chronic medical conditions were not highly correlated with each other (Spearman's rank correlation coefficients were calculated; r<.38 for all), which indicated little evidence for taking account of collinearity in multivariate analyses.
Chunkwise likelihood ratio tests suggested that there are statistical 2-way interactions between age and chronic medical conditions (P = .003), between age and obesity (P = .001), and between chronic medical conditions and pregnancy (P < .001) but no 2-way statistical interaction between chronic medical conditions and obesity (P = .073). Three-way interaction among age, chronic medical conditions, and obesity was evaluated as part of a model containing all possible 2-way interactions but was not statistically significant (P = .489). The final model was used to estimate OR within strata defined by interactions between age and chronic diseases and between age and obesity. Stratum-specific ORs equal eβ, where e denotes the base of natural logarithms and β denotes regression efficient. ORs were calculated as follows: eg, compared with reference group (those 2–17 years of age without chronic medical conditions), for those with chronic medical conditions and ≥ 60 years of age, β=β (≥ 60 years of age) + β (chronic medical conditions) + β (interaction term); here, the latter 3 β values were obtained from the multivariable logistic regression model.
Only patients who received antivirus treatment and have had clinical outcome defined as discharged from the hospital or died during study period were included in the analysis.