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. 2011 Feb 15;52(4):457–465. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciq144

Table 3.

Multivariable Analyses of Risk Factors associated with Severe Illness due to 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Virus Infection

Characteristic OR (95% CI) Pa
Risk factors associated with severe 2009 H1N1 illness
    Among nonpregnant patients ≥ 2 years of age
        Male sex (vs female sex) 1.19 (1.07–1.31) .001
        Delayed hospital admission (on symptom day ≥3 vs day <3) 1.27 (1.13–1.42) <.001
    Age and chronic medical conditionsb
        2–17 years of age and without chronic medical conditions Ref Ref
        18–59 years of age and without chronic medical conditions 2.12 (1.86–2.41) <.001
        ≥ 60 years of age and without chronic medical conditions 3.49 (2.51–4.85) <.001
        2–17 years of age and with chronic medical conditions 3.93 (3.03–5.08) <.001
        18–59 years of age and with chronic medical conditions 5.37 (4.55–6.34) <.001
        ≥ 60 years of age and with chronic medical conditions 6.88 (5.54–8.55) <.001
    Age and obesityb
        2–17 years of age
            Not obese Ref Ref
            Obese 1.34 (1.10–1.63) .004
        18–59 years of age
            Not obese Ref Ref
            Obese 1.91 (1.57–2.31) <.001
        ≥ 60 years of age
            Not obese Ref Ref
            Obese 0.68 (.37–1.25) .211
Among female patients of reproductive age (15–49 years of age)
        Age ≥35 years (vs 15–34 years) 1.40 (1.10–1.77) .006
        Delayed hospital admission (on symptom day ≥3 vs day <3) 1.80 (1.47–2.19) <.001
        Chronic medical conditions and pregnancyb
            Without chronic medical conditions and nonpregnant Ref Ref
            With chronic medical conditions and nonpregnant 3.62 (2.65–4.94) <.001
            Without chronic medical conditions but pregnant 3.30 (2.72–4.00) <.001
            With chronic medical conditions and pregnant 3.69 (2.15–6.31) <.001
Effectiveness of early antiviral treatment on severe 2009 H1N1 illness among nonpregnant patients ≥ 2 years of agec
        Started on symptom day 1–2 Ref Ref
        Started on symptom day 3–4 1.01 (.84–1.22) .885
        Started on symptom day ≥5 1.42 (1.20–1.67) <.001

NOTE. CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; Ref, reference.

a

Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed. Age, obesity, pregnancy, and chronic medical conditions were not highly correlated with each other (Spearman's rank correlation coefficients were calculated; r<.38 for all), which indicated little evidence for taking account of collinearity in multivariate analyses.

b

Chunkwise likelihood ratio tests suggested that there are statistical 2-way interactions between age and chronic medical conditions (P = .003), between age and obesity (P = .001), and between chronic medical conditions and pregnancy (P < .001) but no 2-way statistical interaction between chronic medical conditions and obesity (P = .073). Three-way interaction among age, chronic medical conditions, and obesity was evaluated as part of a model containing all possible 2-way interactions but was not statistically significant (P = .489). The final model was used to estimate OR within strata defined by interactions between age and chronic diseases and between age and obesity. Stratum-specific ORs equal eβ, where e denotes the base of natural logarithms and β denotes regression efficient. ORs were calculated as follows: eg, compared with reference group (those 2–17 years of age without chronic medical conditions), for those with chronic medical conditions and ≥ 60 years of age, β=β (≥ 60 years of age) + β (chronic medical conditions) + β (interaction term); here, the latter 3 β values were obtained from the multivariable logistic regression model.

c

Only patients who received antivirus treatment and have had clinical outcome defined as discharged from the hospital or died during study period were included in the analysis.