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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Affect Disord. 2010 Nov 23;130(3):454–461. doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2010.10.047

Table 2.

Predicting the Probability of GHQ Caseness at Study Phase PT+1 by Sociodemographic and Behavior-Related Risk Markers Assessed at Phase PT.

Model 1 Model 2

Main effect Main effect Interaction effect††

Sex
 Male (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Female 1.29*** (1.21-1.37) 1.38*** (1.27-1.50) 0.95* (0.90-1.00)
SES
 Low (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Intermediate 0.92* (0.85-0.99) 1.01 (0.91-1.12) 0.88*** (0.83-0.94)
 High 0.90** (0.83-0.97) 1.04 (0.94-1.15) 0.83*** (0.79-0.89)
Marital status
 Married (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Single 1.09* (1.01-1.18) 1.01 (0.90-1.12) 1.09* (1.01-1.16)
 Divorced 0.99 (0.88-1.10) 1.16 (1.00-1.35) 0.87** (0.80-0.95)
 Widow 0.97 (0.79-1.19) 1.14 (0.86-1.51) 0.92 (0.80-1.05)
Ethnicity
 White (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Other 1.17* (1.05-1.30) 1.03 (0.90-1.19) 1.17** (1.06-1.29)
Physical activity
 Low (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Intermediate 0.87*** (0.82-0.94) 0.93 (0.84-1.02) 0.96 (0.90-1.01)
 High 0.84*** (0.78-0.90) 0.87** (0.79-0.96) 0.99 (0.93-1.05)
Alcohol consumption
 None (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Moderate 0.94 (0.87-1.02) 1.09 (0.99-1.21) 0.87*** (0.81-0.93)
 Heavy 0.91 (0.83-1.01) 1.06 (0.93-1.21) 0.88** (0.82-0.96)
Smoking
 Non-smoker (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Smoker 1.13** (1.04-1.23) 1.13* (1.01-1.26) 1.01 (0.94-1.09)
Obesity
 Not obese (reference) (reference) (reference)
 Obese 1.11* (1.01-1.23) 1.08 (0.95-1.24) 1.04 (0.97-1.12)

Note:

***

p<.001,

**

p<.01,

*

p<.05;

All models are multilevel logistic regression models fitted separately for each risk marker and adjusted for age, sex, period, cumulative GHQ-history score, and interaction effect between period and cumulative GHQ-history score; Model 1 includes only main effects, model 2 includes main effects and interaction effects between risk markers and cumulative GHQ-history score.

The main effect estimates show odds ratios (and 95% confidence intervals) associated with a one unit change in the independent variable. In model 2, the main effect is shown for participants who have a cumulative GHQ score of 0.

††

The interaction estimates show the proportional change in the main effect associated with a unit increase in the cumulative GHQ-history score. The interaction effects of model 2 are illustrated in figures 2 and 3.