Table 2.
Projected number of maternal, paternal, and double AIDS orphans incurred and averted, per sub-Saharan African country, at year 2020
| South Africa | Uganda | Nigeria | Kenya | Zimbabwe | Tanzania | Ethiopia | Zambia | Malawi | Cote d'Ivoire | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orphans incurred with universal ART access | ||||||||||
| Maternal | 1,379,420 | 379,000 | 887,810 | 691,022 | 286,624 | 549,876 | 316,258 | 413,474 | 312,314 | 151,461 |
| Paternal | 1,452,297 | 592,386 | 1,165,760 | 913,492 | 410,784 | 735,112 | 421,703 | 535,465 | 432,220 | 241,890 |
| Double | 688,762 | 151,493 | 201,155 | 378,776 | 171,243 | 233,989 | 77,547 | 224,763 | 126,391 | 77,932 |
| All | 2,258,756 | 857,842 | 1,982,969 | 1,288,338 | 561,259 | 1,096,206 | 693,419 | 769,052 | 632,518 | 325,891 |
| Orphans incurred by sustaining current ART access | ||||||||||
| Maternal | 2,258,756 | 567,307 | 1,413,087 | 1,175,760 | 362,142 | 883,904 | 497,135 | 641,775 | 491,560 | 224,070 |
| Paternal | 1,813,896 | 735,912 | 1,501,877 | 1,238,024 | 433,892 | 1,008,982 | 547,186 | 663,933 | 557,547 | 288,159 |
| Double | 940,552 | 192,112 | 282,339 | 503,190 | 188,051 | 318,425 | 98,724 | 290,848 | 174,617 | 91,513 |
| All | 3,160,461 | 1,163,017 | 2,821,983 | 2,005,720 | 648,220 | 1,641,721 | 994,221 | 1,075,967 | 894,946 | 435,012 |
| Orphans averted with universal ART access | ||||||||||
| Maternal | 879,336 | 188,307 | 525,277 | 484,738 | 75,518 | 334,028 | 180,877 | 228,301 | 179,246 | 72,609 |
| Paternal | 361,599 | 143,526 | 336,117 | 324,532 | 23,108 | 273,870 | 125,483 | 128,468 | 125,327 | 46,269 |
| Double | 251,790 | 40,619 | 81,184 | 124,414 | 16,808 | 84,436 | 21,177 | 66,085 | 48,226 | 13,581 |
| All | 901,705 | 305,175 | 839,014 | 717,382 | 86,961 | 545,515 | 300,802 | 306,915 | 262,428 | 109,121 |