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. 2011 Mar 25;6(3):e17731. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0017731

Figure 3. Future niche modeling results for three time slices: 2020, 2050, and 2080.

Figure 3

GARP models are depicted on the left, with Maxent models on the right. Two climate change scenarios were utilized: a2a (liberal) and b2a (conservative). The lime green dotted polygon indicates the distribution of L. reclusa according to arachnologists, as was depicted in Fig. 2B. Suitable habitat for the brown recluse shifts northward with time. A threshold has been applied, allowing for a maximum of five percent omission error based on presence data. Results are depicted in USA Contiguous Albers Equal Area Conic map projection.